Can Obama Beat McCain? Absolutely.
The glorious Minutemen dead at the Concord Bridge, where ever they may be today, will surely be rejoicing at the successes of another historic American insurrection. That is the candidacy of Sen. Barack Obama, who like the patriots at the Concord Bridge is turning back a plodding army, the Clintons seeking to maintain power and block the future.
In Wisconsin yesterday, an exit poll question was whether the voters thought the Clintons' attacks on Obama had been unfair. By a 54% to 34% margin, they did.
That's about all we need to know to divine the near future, the Ohio and Texas primaries. The more negative Hillary and Bill Clinton get, the worse they're going to do. Obama, now in all likelihood is going to be the Democratic presidential nominee.
Can he beat Sen. John McCain in the fall?
I certainly think so.
Make no mistake about it, McCain is an attractive candidate, far more so than Hillary. He won't make the legion of mistakes she and her husband have.
But McCain is 71 years old, to Obama's 46, and this is in all probability a Democratic year.
Obama must be careful not to give McCain opportunities to make inroads. If he pledged to go along with public financing, he can't get out of it, any more than Hillary has been able to get away with not divulging the tax returns that may have proved she was a tax cheat.
The Illinois senator must also keep the emphasis he has already developed--on reform, while keeping America safe. He has to demonstrate, especially against McCain, that he will be a tough commander of chief.
And, of course, he has to name an outstanding vice presidential running mate.
But the question that will preoccupy many Americans: Is the country ready for a black President? That can easily be answered. Yes, it is. And McCain is too honorable to raise the race issue anyway. He won't try to be Bill Clinton in South Carolina. He'll have to control some overzealous backers, or at least contain them. But he will do so. He is one tough, resilient man.
McCain could be saved, possibly, by a new terrorist attack against the homeland. But I think the odds are against one occurring, and, even if it does, Obama is too smart to be caught on the dovish side of any response by President Bush.
Once the Minutemen chased the British Army back to Boston, it never emerged from it again. Now, Obama is chasing the special interests, the Clinton power grab, the attempts to install a co-presidency. He's got his foes on the run. He won't stop now, and, I believe, he will be elected.
Again, I'd enter the caveat I did last Dec. 26, when this blog endorsed Obama and McCain for their respective party nominations: The Secret Service must be very diligent in protecting Obama, and McCain too, from nuts and assassins. We don't want a repeat of Nov. 22, 1963, or April 14, 1865.
Labels: Presidential campaigning